论对外贸易乘数对浙江GDP增长的影响

^论文编号:GM477  ^论文字数:8324.页数:20

摘 要

    在经历对外贸易飞速发展的阶段后，浙江乃至全国的对外贸易进入新的调整阶段。浙江的对外贸易乘数逐渐减少，出口对经济的牵动作用下降，但是外贸对浙江经济的促进仍然不可忽视。良性发展的经济不是仅仅依靠单个的国内市场或国际市场，而是应充分利用国际、国内两个市场、两种资源，通过两个市场的发展，产业结构的调整，共同促进经济的发展。本文拟通过对浙江对外贸易发展现状的实证分析 ,指出浙江应真正实现国内市场与国外市场的互动,推动产业升级，带动整个浙江经济的发展。

关键词:   贸易乘数、边际消费倾向、对外贸易

ABSTRACT
 After the stage of the rapid growth of the foreign trade , the international trade in Zhejiang and even the whole country both face the severe test.Under the condition , Zhejiang province ,even all the whole country ,should put forward measures to adjust to the new stage of foreign trade. The international trade multiplier of Zhjiang reduces gradually; the economic affectingfunction for exports is dropping.But we should give enough attention to the foreign trade . The economy of benign development does not only dependon the domesticor international market , but should also fully utilize international and domestic markets. Two kinds of resources,  through the development of two markets together and industry upgrading, the development of economy of Zhejiang will be promoted. Through the analysis aboutthe real example of the current situation of the development of foreign trade in Zhejiang , it is pointed out that Zhejiang should pay attention to the domestic market and industry upgrading, realize the interactionwith theoverseas market and to drive the development of the whole Zhejiang economy.
Key words: International ,Trade Multiplier , MPC, Foreign Trade 

目录
第一章 引言 1
第二章 贸易乘数理论 2
第三章 浙江对外贸易与经济发展 4
第四章 浙江省的外贸乘数分析 7
第一节 总体分析浙江省外贸乘数 7
第二节 全国宏观经济形势 9
第三节 社会消费总额的因素 10
第四节 边际进口倾向的因素 11
第五章 政策及建议 13
参考文献 15
致谢 16
封底 17

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