金融发展与经济增长关系的实证分析

^论文编号：JR116     字数:17514,页数:38

摘 要
 金融发展与经济增长的关系，一直以来都是经济理论研究中的核心问题。^论文首先概述了山东省的经济和金融发展状况，然后利用Eviews软件进行实证分析，从不同侧面深入研究经济增长与金融发展的关系，即通过对经济增长指标与银行部门的发展指标、证券市场的指标、保险部门的指标分别进行实证研究，分析了各金融部门对山东省经济增长的影响和作用，得到了传统的金融中介服务仍是经济增长的主要支持因素，股票市场优化资源配置的功能尚未得到充分发挥以及保险对经济增长的促进作用也具有局限性等非常有价值的研究结论，最后还就此提出了相应的政策建议。
 关键词：金融发展 经济增长 单位根检验 协整检验 格兰杰因果检验

Abstract
 The relationship of financial development and economic growth has always been the core issue in the economic theory research. This article first carries on the description to Shandong Province’s actual economic condition and the financial present situation, then carries on the empirical analysis using the Eviews software. Does deep research on the relationship of economic growth and financial development from different sides. through the separate empirical analysis of the economic growth indices, Banking sector's development indices, stock market's indices and Insurance department's indices, This article analyzed the influences and the functions of various financial departments to the economic growth of Shandong Province and obtained some very valuable conclusions such as the traditional financial service was still the prime factor of economic growth , the Stock market hadn’t fully played the role of optimizing allocation of resources and the insurance hadn’t promoted the economic growth poorly. Finally put forward is the corresponding policy.
 Keywords Financial development；Economic growth ；Unite root Test； Co integration Test；Granger Test

 目  录
引言 1
1 金融发展与经济增长关系理论 1
1.1经济增长理论 1
1.2金融发展理论 3
1.3金融发展与经济增长的研究 3
2 山东省金融发展与经济增长概况 5
2.1山东省经济发展概况 5
2.2 山东省金融发展概况 7
3 山东省金融发展与经济增长的实证分析 7
3.1 样本数据的收集及解释 8
3.2 计量研究的过程 10
4 结论与建议 15
4.1研究结论 15
4.2 政策建议 16
谢  辞 17

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