新农业政策对粮食主产区农民收入的影响与对策研究

^论文编号:GS330  ^论文字数:25037,页数:38，附开题报告，外文翻译

摘    要
    政策本身虽然不是直接的生产要素，但有效的政策安排却可以通过改变农业生产要素配置的环境和相对价格而影响农业的发展方向和生产效率。粮食主产区是国家粮食生产的主体，一旦粮食主产区出现问题，就会直接危及到国家粮食安全和社会稳定。自1997年到2003年，我国农民人均纯收入的增幅连续七年不超过5%，仅相当于同期城镇居民收入增幅的一半，致使城乡收入差距越拉越大。尤其是，自1996年我国粮食产量创出历史新高、出现部分剩余以来，我国粮食价格连年下滑，粮食主产区农民收入增幅更加低于全国平均水平，已经直接威胁到国家粮食安全和社会稳定。为了应对粮食主产区日益严峻的农民增收缓慢问题，我国新一届政府启动了以“三补一减”为主要内容、以“多予、少取、放活”为主要特征、以“粮食稳定增产、农民持续增收”为主题的新农业政策，为增加农民的收入提供了新的思路。
 本文第二、三章在分析与农业国内支持相关的理论及其政策效应的基础上，总结出制约农民收入增长的主要因素，从而为我国的农业国内支持的调整提供具有针对性的参考意见。第四章借助改进的索洛模型，使用5个粮食主产区的研究数据对建国以来我国农业政策的直接贡献率进行了实证。第五、六章通过对现阶段我国农民收入增长状况的分析，指出了国内支持存在的问题，提出了改革和调整农业国内支持政策的客观要求，同时为构筑粮食主产区农民增收长效机制提出了完善新农业政策的具体政策建议。

关键词：新农业政策；粮食主产区；农民增收；绩效分析

Abstract
    Policy itself is not the direct factor of production, but the effective policy may affect the agricultural development direction and its efficiency through changing the disposition environments of agricultural production factors and the relative price. The major grain producing areas play a most important role in guaranteeing the national grain security. If there is something wrong with them, the national gain security and the social stability will be in great danger. From1997 to 2003, the increasing rate of the farmer's per capita income never surpassed 5% within 7 year, which is only equivalent to half of the yearly average growth of the city inhabitant's income over the same period. The result is that the rural-urban gap becomes larger and larger. In particular, since 1996 our grain production has reached a record high with partially surplus. The grain price glides down continuously, and the increase of the farmer's income in the major gain producing areas is even slower than the national average. It has brought great threat to the national grain security and the entire social stability. To solve the problems, our new government started the new agricultural policy. The policy takes "three mending, one reducing" as the main content, takes "dive more, take less and be more flexible" as the main features, and takes "increase grain production steadily, add the farmers' income continuously" as the subject, which provides a good idea to increase the farmers' income (especially the farmers in main production area).
 Based on the correlative domestic support theories and policy effect in agriculture, the second and third chapter analyze the factors which can lead to the growth of the farmers' income, and thus put forward to the suggestion for adjusting our domestic agricultural policy. With the improved Solow model, the fourth chapter has demonstrated the direct contribution rate of our agricultural policy since the founding of the nation, using the research data in 5 major grain-producing areas. The fifth and sixth chapter point out the problem existing in our domestic support policies after studying the present situation of the farmers' income in our nation, and brings forward the objective request for the reforming and adjusting agriculture domestic support policy, and finally puts forward the concrete proposals to perfect the new agriculture policy so as to build the long-mechanism to grow the peasants' income in the major grain-producing areas.

Keywords: new agricultural policy; major grain-producing area; farmers' income growth; performance evaluation

目    录
摘    要 I
Abstract II
第1章 绪论 1
1.1 选题背景 1
1.2 研究意义 1
1.3 国内外研究现状 2
1.4 研究内容和创新点 2
第2章 农业国内支持政策与农民增收相关理论分析 4
2.1 有关概念的界定 4
2.2 农业国内支持政策保障农民收入的理论分析 6
2.2.4 城乡反差协调论 8
第3章 粮食主产区经济地位及农民增收制约因素分析 9
3.1 粮食主产区的界定 9
3.2 粮食主产区经济发展状况 9
3.3 粮食主产区在经济发展中的地位 10
3.4 制约主产区农民增收的主要因素 10
第4章 我国新农业政策对粮食主产区农民增收影响的实证分析 12
4.1 以“三补一减”政策为代表的新农业政策与主产区农民收入 12
4.2 对新农业政策的评价 14
4.3 农业政策变迁对粮食主产区农民增收的直接贡献率概测 18
4.4 农业政策变迁对粮食主产区农民增收的间接贡献定性分析 23
第5章 对策建议 25
5.1 完善政府一般服务与补贴制度 25
5.2 完善新农业政策 26
第6章 结论 30
参 考 文 献 31
致    谢 33

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